parameter Estimates

\(R0\), the reproductive number or average number of new infections generated by an infected person in a completely susceptible population
\(r\), the proportion of illnesses that are observed
\(Frac_{R0}\), the reduction in the initial R0 due to social distancing
\(\alpha\), the probability of hospitalization given illness
\(\kappa\), the probability of ICU care necessary given hospitalization
\(p_v\), the probability of ventilation given ICU care
\(\delta\), the probability of death given ICU care

Demonstrating Model Fit Against Data